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https://github.com/christianvidalwolf-prog/CrazeAnalytix.git
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Fix seasonality bias: Default to flat weighting if history is sparse (<4 months)
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@@ -1628,15 +1628,25 @@ export const calculateForecastViewData = (
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const getWeights = (records: SalesRecord[]) => {
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const getWeights = (records: SalesRecord[]) => {
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const weights = new Array(12).fill(0);
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const weights = new Array(12).fill(0);
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let total = 0;
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let total = 0;
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const seenMonths = new Set<string>();
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records.forEach(r => {
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records.forEach(r => {
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const m = r.month.split('-')[0];
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const m = r.month.split('-')[0];
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const idx = MONTH_ORDER.indexOf(m);
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const idx = MONTH_ORDER.indexOf(m);
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if (idx !== -1) {
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if (idx !== -1) {
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weights[idx] += r.units;
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weights[idx] += r.units;
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total += r.units;
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total += r.units;
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if (r.units > 0) seenMonths.add(m);
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}
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}
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});
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});
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if (total === 0) return new Array(12).fill(1 / 12);
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// Safety Fallback: If we have sparse data (e.g., only Jan loaded),
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// using it as 100% seasonality skews the forecast entirely to that month.
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// We require at least 4 months of history to trust the curve; otherwise, we assume flat seasonality (1/12).
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if (total === 0 || seenMonths.size < 4) {
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return new Array(12).fill(1 / 12);
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}
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return weights.map(w => w / total);
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return weights.map(w => w / total);
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};
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};
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